Comparable sales, also known as same-store sales, represent a critical metric for evaluating a retailer’s financial health and operational efficiency, and COMPARE.EDU.VN is here to break it down for you. They reveal how well established stores perform over time, excluding the impact of new store openings or closures, offering valuable insights into organic growth and customer retention. Dive deeper with us to understand its calculations, interpretations, and impacts, and discover how COMPARE.EDU.VN helps you make informed decisions based on retail performance analysis, financial statement analysis, and investment strategy.
1. What Are Comparable Sales?
Comparable sales, often called “same-store sales” or “identical-store sales,” refer to the revenue generated by a retail location during the most recent accounting period compared to the revenue it generated during a similar period in the past. They serve as a key performance indicator (KPI) to assess the organic growth of a retail company.
Comparable sales provide insights into the underlying performance of a retailer’s existing store base, excluding the impact of new store openings, expansions, or closures. This metric allows investors and analysts to gauge how effectively a retailer is driving sales at its established locations.
2. Why Are Comparable Sales Important?
Comparable sales are crucial for several reasons:
- Performance Indicator: They offer a clear view of how well a retailer’s existing stores are performing, reflecting the effectiveness of marketing strategies, customer service, and merchandise selection.
- Trend Analysis: Monitoring comparable sales over time helps identify trends in consumer behavior, seasonality, and the impact of external factors like economic conditions or competitive pressures.
- Investment Decisions: Investors use comparable sales to evaluate a retailer’s financial health and growth potential, influencing stock prices and investment decisions.
- Operational Insights: Retailers use comparable sales data to identify underperforming stores, optimize inventory management, and refine pricing strategies.
3. Who Uses Comparable Sales?
Comparable sales are utilized by various stakeholders:
- Investors: To assess a retailer’s growth prospects and make informed investment decisions.
- Analysts: To evaluate a retailer’s financial performance and provide recommendations.
- Retailers: To monitor store performance, optimize operations, and make strategic decisions.
- Consumers: To understand trends in retail and make informed purchasing decisions.
4. What are the Key Takeaways of Comparable Sales?
- Revenue Metric: Comparable sales measures a company’s revenue generated by a retail location in the most recent accounting period compared to the revenue generated in a similar period in the past.
- Performance Evaluation: Analysts use comparable sales as a measure of sales growth to evaluate how established stores have performed over time compared to new stores.
- Sales Trends: A negative comparative store sales number shows a company’s sales are declining, while a positive number shows sales are increasing.
5. How Do You Interpret Comparable Sales?
Interpreting comparable sales involves understanding the context and considering various factors:
- Positive Comparable Sales: Indicate that the retailer’s existing stores are generating more revenue than in the previous period, suggesting effective strategies and customer retention.
- Negative Comparable Sales: Suggest that the retailer’s existing stores are generating less revenue, potentially indicating issues with product offerings, pricing, competition, or overall market conditions.
- Flat Comparable Sales: Indicate that revenue has remained relatively stable, suggesting a lack of significant growth or decline.
6. Understanding Comparable Store Sales
Investors and analysts reviewing a retail company’s financial statements rely on comparable store sales to provide a picture of how established stores have performed over time relative to the performance of new stores. In effect, comparable store sales is a measure of sales growth and revenue from a company’s store operations.
For chains that are growing quickly and opening new outlets, same-store sales figures allow analysts to differentiate between revenue growth that comes from new stores and growth from improved operations at existing outlets. Comparable store sales are most commonly used to compare the most recent year’s holiday shopping season to the previous year’s. It can also be used to compare this week’s, month’s, quarter’s, or year’s sales to last week’s, month’s, quarter’s, or year’s sales.
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7. Factors Affecting Comparable Sales
Several factors can influence comparable sales:
- Economic Conditions: Overall economic growth or recession can significantly impact consumer spending and retail sales.
- Competition: The presence of new competitors or changes in competitive strategies can affect market share and sales.
- Pricing Strategies: Adjustments to pricing can impact sales volume and revenue.
- Marketing Campaigns: Effective marketing campaigns can drive traffic and increase sales.
- Merchandise Selection: Offering desirable and relevant products can attract customers and boost sales.
- Customer Service: Providing excellent customer service can enhance customer loyalty and repeat purchases.
- Seasonality: Seasonal variations in demand can impact sales for certain retailers.
- External Events: Unforeseen events like natural disasters or pandemics can disrupt retail operations and affect sales.
8. How To Calculate Comparable Store Sales
Comparable store sales are typically expressed as a percentage of an increase or decrease in revenue. This example shows how you would calculate the change in comparable store sales from one year to the previous year.
Here’s a step-by-step guide to calculating comparable sales:
- Define the Period: Determine the period you want to analyze (e.g., monthly, quarterly, annually).
- Identify Comparable Stores: Select stores that have been open for at least one year and have not undergone significant renovations or changes.
- Calculate Total Sales: Calculate the total sales for the selected stores during the current period.
- Calculate Base Period Sales: Calculate the total sales for the same stores during the base period (e.g., the same period in the previous year).
- Calculate the Difference: Subtract the base period sales from the current period sales.
- Calculate the Percentage Change: Divide the difference by the base period sales and multiply by 100 to express the result as a percentage.
Here is the formula:
Comparable Sales = ((Current Period Sales - Base Period Sales) / Base Period Sales) * 100
Example:
Let’s say a retailer had total sales of $1,000,000 in the current period and $900,000 in the base period for its comparable stores.
Comparable Sales = (($1,000,000 - $900,000) / $900,000) * 100
Comparable Sales = (100,000 / 900,000) * 100
Comparable Sales = 11.11%
In this example, the retailer experienced an 11.11% increase in comparable sales.
9. Example of Comparable Store Sales
A retail company’s 10-Q report for a quarter may show that it brought in $18 million in revenue. However, this information will be useless if it is used as a stand-alone number. To make any sense of this figure, an analyst will compare it to sales generated over the previous quarter of the same accounting year or a previous accounting year.
If comparable store sales are up from a previous period, it is a sign that the retail company is moving in the right direction. An increase in comparable store sales could be interpreted to mean that the retailer is effective in retaining its customers and might be better off focusing on its existing locations and worrying less about expansion. Sustained negative same-store sales over several quarters or even years may be an indicator that the retailer is in trouble.
10. Calculating Comparable Store Sales
Comparable store sales are typically expressed as a percentage of an increase or decrease in revenue. This example shows how you would calculate the change in comparable store sales from one year to the previous year.
- Find the net sales figures for each of the years 2022 and 2021.
- Subtract any revenue related to stores closed during the past two years from the net sales earned in 2021.
- Revenue related to stores closed during the past two years should also be subtracted from 2022 revenue.
- Subtract any revenue related to stores opened during the past two years from the total revenue generated in 2021 to arrive at the total comparable store sales for 2021.
- Like #3 above, revenue related to stores opened during the past two years should be subtracted from 2022 revenue to arrive at the total comparable store sales for 2022.
- Subtract total comparable store sales in 2021 from total comparable store sales in 2022. This is the absolute dollar change in same-store revenues, which may be negative or positive.
- Finally, divide the absolute dollar change in comparable store sales by the total comparable store revenues in 2021. This amount, expressed as a percentage, shows the change in comparable store sales.
11. Strategies to Improve Comparable Sales
Retailers can implement several strategies to improve comparable sales:
- Enhance Customer Experience: Focus on providing excellent customer service, creating a welcoming store environment, and offering personalized shopping experiences.
- Optimize Inventory Management: Ensure that the right products are available at the right time, minimizing stockouts and maximizing sales.
- Implement Effective Marketing Campaigns: Develop targeted marketing campaigns that resonate with customers and drive traffic to stores.
- Refine Pricing Strategies: Adjust pricing to remain competitive while maintaining profitability.
- Introduce New Products and Services: Regularly introduce new and innovative products and services to attract customers and boost sales.
- Leverage Data Analytics: Utilize data analytics to gain insights into customer behavior, optimize store layouts, and personalize marketing efforts.
- Embrace Digital Channels: Integrate digital channels like e-commerce and mobile apps to enhance the shopping experience and reach a wider audience.
- Invest in Employee Training: Equip employees with the knowledge and skills to provide excellent customer service and drive sales.
- Monitor Competitor Activities: Stay informed about competitor strategies and adapt accordingly.
- Focus on Customer Loyalty: Implement loyalty programs and personalized offers to retain customers and encourage repeat purchases.
12. How Comparable Sales Are Used
Comparable sales are used in several ways:
- Evaluating Company Performance: Investors and analysts use comparable sales to assess a retailer’s overall financial health and growth potential.
- Benchmarking: Retailers use comparable sales to benchmark their performance against competitors and industry averages.
- Store-Level Performance Analysis: Retailers use comparable sales to identify underperforming stores and implement strategies to improve their performance.
- Strategic Decision-Making: Retailers use comparable sales data to inform decisions about store expansions, closures, and resource allocation.
- Forecasting: Retailers use comparable sales trends to forecast future sales and plan inventory accordingly.
13. Limitations of Comparable Sales
While comparable sales are a valuable metric, they have some limitations:
- Exclusion of New Stores: Comparable sales exclude the impact of new store openings, potentially understating a retailer’s overall growth.
- Impact of Store Closures: Store closures can distort comparable sales figures, especially if they significantly impact overall revenue.
- External Factors: Comparable sales do not fully account for external factors like economic conditions, weather, or local events, which can influence sales.
- Lack of Granularity: Comparable sales provide a high-level view of performance but may not reveal specific issues or opportunities at the product or customer level.
- Potential for Manipulation: Retailers may manipulate comparable sales figures by temporarily discounting products or offering promotions.
14. How Do You Analyze Comparable Sales?
Analyzing comparable sales involves examining trends, comparing performance against benchmarks, and considering various influencing factors.
- Trend Analysis: Examine comparable sales trends over time to identify patterns and potential issues.
- Benchmarking: Compare comparable sales against industry averages and competitor performance to assess relative performance.
- Factor Analysis: Consider the impact of various factors like economic conditions, competition, and marketing campaigns on comparable sales.
- Segmentation: Analyze comparable sales by store location, product category, and customer segment to identify specific areas of strength or weakness.
- Regression Analysis: Use regression analysis to quantify the impact of various factors on comparable sales.
15. Comparable Sales vs. Total Sales
Comparable sales differ from total sales in the following ways:
- Comparable Sales: Focus on the performance of existing stores that have been open for at least one year.
- Total Sales: Include revenue from all stores, including new stores and stores that have been temporarily closed.
Comparable sales provide a more accurate picture of a retailer’s organic growth, while total sales reflect overall revenue performance.
16. Common Mistakes in Interpreting Comparable Sales
- Ignoring Context: Failing to consider external factors like economic conditions or local events.
- Over-Reliance on Short-Term Trends: Making decisions based on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term trends.
- Neglecting Segmentation: Failing to analyze comparable sales by store location, product category, and customer segment.
- Ignoring Qualitative Data: Overlooking qualitative data like customer feedback and employee insights.
- Failing to Benchmark: Not comparing comparable sales against industry averages and competitor performance.
17. The Bottom Line
By comparing sales across different periods, company management and investors can determine how well a retail store is doing. Comparable store sales not only provide a picture of how specific locations are performing, they can also tell a story about how a retailer is performing as a whole. A negative number shows declining same-store sales, while a positive number shows increasing same-store sales. Negative or positive same-store sales might be due to increasing or falling prices or a change in the number of customers who frequent the stores.
Typically, stores with less than one year of sales history are excluded from comparable store sales calculations.
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18. Factors Excluded From Comparable Sales
When calculating comparable sales, it’s important to exclude certain factors that could skew the results:
- New Store Openings: Sales from stores that have opened within the past year are typically excluded.
- Store Closures: Revenue from stores that have closed during the period is excluded.
- Relocated Stores: If a store has relocated to a new location, its sales are generally excluded for a certain period.
- Significant Renovations: Stores that have undergone significant renovations or expansions may be excluded.
- Temporary Closures: Stores that have been temporarily closed due to unforeseen events may be excluded.
19. What are the Limitations of Comparable Sales Data
Comparable sales data provides a valuable snapshot of retail performance, but it has limitations:
- Doesn’t Reflect Overall Growth: It focuses on existing stores, potentially masking the impact of new store openings.
- Susceptible to Short-Term Trends: A single month or quarter might not accurately represent long-term performance.
- Ignores External Factors: Economic downturns, weather events, or local competition can affect sales regardless of a company’s internal performance.
- Limited Scope: It doesn’t account for online sales or other revenue streams outside traditional brick-and-mortar stores.
- Potential for Manipulation: Companies might use promotions or discounts to temporarily inflate sales figures.
20. Are there any Alternative Metrics to Consider
Yes, there are several alternative metrics to consider:
- Total Sales Growth: This measures the overall increase in revenue, including sales from new stores.
- E-commerce Sales Growth: This tracks the growth of online sales, providing insight into the company’s digital performance.
- Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC): This measures the cost of acquiring a new customer, helping to evaluate marketing efficiency.
- Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV): This estimates the total revenue a customer will generate over their relationship with the company, highlighting customer loyalty.
- Gross Profit Margin: This measures the profitability of each sale after deducting the cost of goods sold.
- Net Promoter Score (NPS): This measures customer satisfaction and loyalty, indicating the likelihood of customers recommending the brand.
- Traffic and Conversion Rates: These metrics track the number of visitors to a store or website and the percentage of visitors who make a purchase.
21. The Future of Comparable Sales
The future of comparable sales is likely to involve:
- Integration with Omnichannel Data: Combining comparable sales data with online sales and other data sources to provide a more holistic view of performance.
- Advanced Analytics: Utilizing advanced analytics techniques like machine learning to identify patterns and predict future sales trends.
- Personalization: Using data to personalize the shopping experience and target customers with relevant offers.
- Sustainability: Incorporating sustainability metrics into comparable sales analysis to assess the impact of environmental initiatives on performance.
- Focus on Customer Experience: Prioritizing customer experience and using comparable sales data to identify areas for improvement.
22. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About Comparable Sales
Here are some frequently asked questions about comparable sales:
- What is the difference between comparable sales and total sales?
Comparable sales only consider stores open for at least a year, while total sales include all stores, including new ones. - Why are comparable sales important?
They provide a clear picture of how well a retailer’s existing stores are performing. - What factors can affect comparable sales?
Economic conditions, competition, pricing strategies, marketing campaigns, and merchandise selection. - How do you calculate comparable sales?
(Current Period Sales – Base Period Sales) / Base Period Sales) 100* - What are the limitations of comparable sales?
They don’t reflect overall growth and can be susceptible to short-term trends. - How can retailers improve comparable sales?
Enhance customer experience, optimize inventory management, and implement effective marketing campaigns. - What alternative metrics should retailers consider?
Total sales growth, e-commerce sales growth, customer acquisition cost, and customer lifetime value. - How are comparable sales used in strategic decision-making?
To inform decisions about store expansions, closures, and resource allocation. - What is the future of comparable sales?
Integration with omnichannel data, advanced analytics, and personalization. - How do you analyze comparable sales?
Examine trends, compare performance against benchmarks, and consider various influencing factors.
23. Real-World Applications of Comparable Sales
- Retail Industry: Evaluating the performance of clothing stores, grocery stores, and electronics retailers.
- Restaurant Industry: Assessing the performance of fast-food chains, casual dining restaurants, and fine dining establishments.
- Hospitality Industry: Evaluating the performance of hotels, resorts, and casinos.
- Automotive Industry: Assessing the performance of car dealerships and auto parts stores.
- Consumer Goods Industry: Evaluating the performance of manufacturers and distributors of consumer goods.
24. Case Studies of Successful Comparable Sales Strategies
- Starbucks: Implemented a customer loyalty program that increased comparable sales by rewarding frequent customers with personalized offers.
- Walmart: Optimized inventory management by using data analytics to predict demand and ensure that the right products were available at the right time, resulting in improved comparable sales.
- Target: Enhanced customer experience by creating a welcoming store environment and offering personalized shopping experiences, leading to increased comparable sales.
25. How to Access Comparable Sales Data
Comparable sales data can be obtained from various sources:
- Company Financial Reports: Publicly traded companies typically report comparable sales data in their quarterly and annual reports.
- Industry Associations: Industry associations often collect and publish comparable sales data for their members.
- Market Research Firms: Market research firms provide in-depth analysis and data on comparable sales trends.
- Financial News Outlets: Financial news outlets often report on comparable sales data and provide analysis of the retail industry.
- Online Databases: Online databases like Bloomberg and FactSet provide access to financial data, including comparable sales figures.
26. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Related to Comparable Sales
Several KPIs are related to comparable sales:
- Traffic: The number of customers visiting a store or website.
- Conversion Rate: The percentage of visitors who make a purchase.
- Average Transaction Value: The average amount spent per transaction.
- Units Per Transaction: The average number of items purchased per transaction.
- Gross Margin: The difference between revenue and the cost of goods sold.
- Customer Satisfaction: A measure of how satisfied customers are with their shopping experience.
- Employee Engagement: A measure of how engaged employees are with their work.
- Inventory Turnover: The number of times inventory is sold and replaced over a given period.
- Marketing ROI: The return on investment for marketing campaigns.
- Operating Expenses: The costs associated with running a business.
27. How to Use Comparable Sales Data for Investment Decisions
Investors can use comparable sales data to make informed investment decisions by:
- Evaluating a Company’s Growth Potential: Assessing whether a company is growing its existing store base or relying on new store openings.
- Comparing a Company’s Performance Against Competitors: Determining whether a company is outperforming or underperforming its peers.
- Identifying Potential Investment Opportunities: Finding companies with strong comparable sales growth and attractive valuations.
- Assessing a Company’s Financial Health: Evaluating whether a company is generating sufficient revenue to cover its expenses and generate a profit.
- Making Informed Buy or Sell Decisions: Using comparable sales data to inform decisions about buying or selling a company’s stock.
28. Tips for Analyzing Comparable Sales Data
- Consider the Context: Take into account economic conditions, competition, and other external factors that may influence comparable sales.
- Look at Long-Term Trends: Don’t overreact to short-term fluctuations; focus on long-term trends.
- Segment the Data: Analyze comparable sales by store location, product category, and customer segment to identify specific areas of strength or weakness.
- Compare Against Benchmarks: Compare comparable sales against industry averages and competitor performance to assess relative performance.
- Use Advanced Analytics: Utilize advanced analytics techniques to identify patterns and predict future sales trends.
29. Resources for Learning More About Comparable Sales
- Financial News Outlets: The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Reuters.
- Industry Associations: The National Retail Federation and the Restaurant Association.
- Market Research Firms: Gartner and Forrester.
- Online Databases: Bloomberg and FactSet.
- Business Schools: Harvard Business School and Stanford Graduate School of Business.
30. Potential Pitfalls to Avoid When Calculating and Interpreting Comparable Sales
- Failing to Exclude Non-Comparable Stores: Including stores that have been opened for less than a year or have undergone significant renovations.
- Ignoring External Factors: Not considering economic conditions, competition, and other external factors that may influence comparable sales.
- Over-Reliance on Short-Term Trends: Making decisions based on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term trends.
- Neglecting Segmentation: Failing to analyze comparable sales by store location, product category, and customer segment.
- Ignoring Qualitative Data: Overlooking qualitative data like customer feedback and employee insights.
31. Ethical Considerations in Reporting Comparable Sales
- Transparency: Retailers should be transparent about how they calculate and report comparable sales data.
- Accuracy: Retailers should ensure that their comparable sales data is accurate and reliable.
- Consistency: Retailers should use consistent methods for calculating and reporting comparable sales data over time.
- Avoidance of Manipulation: Retailers should avoid manipulating comparable sales data to mislead investors or analysts.
- Compliance with Regulations: Retailers should comply with all applicable regulations regarding the reporting of financial data.
32. Impact of E-commerce on Comparable Sales Calculations
The rise of e-commerce has significantly impacted comparable sales calculations. Retailers must now consider online sales when evaluating their overall performance. Some retailers include e-commerce sales in their comparable sales calculations, while others track them separately.
Integrating E-commerce:
- Inclusion: If e-commerce sales are integrated, the calculation becomes more complex, requiring careful tracking of online revenue and attribution to specific geographic locations.
- Attribution: Determining which online sales to include in comparable sales calculations can be challenging, especially for retailers with a national or international presence.
Tracking Separately:
- Clarity: Tracking e-commerce sales separately provides a clearer picture of the performance of brick-and-mortar stores.
- Comprehensive View: However, it may not provide a comprehensive view of the retailer’s overall performance.
33. How to Use Comparable Sales to Identify and Address Underperforming Stores
Comparable sales data can be used to identify underperforming stores by:
- Tracking Sales Trends: Monitoring comparable sales trends over time to identify stores with declining sales.
- Comparing Against Benchmarks: Comparing comparable sales against industry averages and competitor performance to identify stores that are underperforming.
- Analyzing Key Performance Indicators: Analyzing KPIs like traffic, conversion rate, and average transaction value to identify the root causes of underperformance.
- Gathering Qualitative Data: Collecting customer feedback and employee insights to understand the challenges faced by underperforming stores.
- Conducting Site Visits: Visiting underperforming stores to assess the store environment, merchandise selection, and customer service.
Once underperforming stores have been identified, retailers can take steps to address the issues by:
- Improving Store Management: Ensuring that stores are well-managed and staffed with competent employees.
- Optimizing Merchandise Selection: Offering desirable and relevant products that meet customer needs.
- Enhancing Customer Service: Providing excellent customer service and creating a welcoming store environment.
- Implementing Targeted Marketing Campaigns: Developing targeted marketing campaigns to drive traffic to underperforming stores.
- Renovating or Relocating Stores: Renovating or relocating stores to improve their appearance and attract more customers.
34. The Role of Technology in Improving Comparable Sales Analysis
Technology plays a critical role in improving comparable sales analysis:
- Data Collection: Technology enables retailers to collect vast amounts of data on customer behavior, sales trends, and inventory levels.
- Data Analysis: Advanced analytics tools help retailers analyze this data and identify patterns and insights.
- Personalization: Technology allows retailers to personalize the shopping experience and target customers with relevant offers.
- Automation: Automation tools can streamline processes like inventory management and marketing campaign execution.
- Real-Time Insights: Real-time dashboards provide retailers with up-to-date information on comparable sales and other key performance indicators.
- Cloud Computing: Cloud computing enables retailers to store and process vast amounts of data in a cost-effective and scalable manner.
- Artificial Intelligence (AI): AI-powered tools can automate tasks like demand forecasting and pricing optimization.
35. Distortions of Comparable Sales
There are several potential sources of distortion in comparable sales data:
- Calendar Shifts: The timing of holidays and other events can shift from year to year, making it difficult to compare sales data accurately.
- Promotional Activities: Promotional activities like discounts and coupons can temporarily inflate sales figures.
- Weather Events: Extreme weather events can disrupt retail operations and affect sales.
- Economic Conditions: Economic conditions can significantly impact consumer spending and retail sales.
- Local Events: Local events like festivals and concerts can attract customers to certain stores.
Retailers should be aware of these potential distortions and take steps to mitigate their impact on comparable sales analysis.
36. The Relevance of Macroeconomic Factors in Comparable Sales
Macroeconomic factors can significantly influence comparable sales:
- Economic Growth: Overall economic growth or recession can impact consumer spending and retail sales.
- Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate affects consumer confidence and spending.
- Inflation Rate: Inflation can impact the prices of goods and services, affecting sales volume and revenue.
- Interest Rates: Interest rates can influence consumer borrowing and spending.
- Consumer Confidence: Consumer confidence levels can impact spending decisions.
- Government Policies: Government policies like tax cuts or stimulus packages can affect consumer spending.
- Global Events: Global events like trade wars or pandemics can disrupt supply chains and affect retail sales.
Retailers should monitor macroeconomic factors and adjust their strategies accordingly.
37. Final Thoughts: Making Informed Decisions with Comparable Sales
Comparable sales are a valuable tool for evaluating retail performance and making informed decisions. By understanding the calculation, interpretation, and limitations of comparable sales, retailers and investors can gain insights into a company’s financial health and growth potential.
However, it’s important to consider comparable sales in conjunction with other metrics and qualitative factors. By taking a holistic approach to analysis, stakeholders can make sound judgments and maximize their returns.
Navigating the complexities of comparable sales can be challenging. At COMPARE.EDU.VN, we’re committed to providing you with clear, concise, and actionable insights to help you make informed decisions. Whether you’re an investor, analyst, or retailer, our comprehensive resources can empower you to understand and leverage comparable sales data effectively.
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